Atmosfera 0-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.44/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.81
-5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 Minija Minija LIT1
15.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-1 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
04.11.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
02.07.2022 Minija Minija 0-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
0-1
AWAY Minija
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija edged past Atmosfera 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Minija found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atmosfera had 56% of the ball to Minija's 44%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Atmosfera and 1.50 for Minija.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Minija?

Atmosfera 0-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 37%, draw 31%, Minija 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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