Puebla vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Puebla
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Puebla 0-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa edged past Puebla 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Puebla had 46% of the ball to Necaxa's 54%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.44 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Puebla and 1.83 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Necaxa?
Puebla 0-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Puebla 34%, draw 22%, Necaxa 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.