Amed SK 1-0 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.25
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.24
X/2
6%
9.46
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
12%
23.75
2/2
9%
7.68
2/X
10%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.34/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.09
-16% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.0 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 2.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
290 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
1-0
AWAY Çorum FK
2.74 xG 0.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
415 Passes 316
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK nicked a narrow win over Çorum FK 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Amed SK had 55% of the ball to Çorum FK's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.74 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Amed SK's control.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Çorum FK?

Amed SK 1-0 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 52%, draw 27%, Çorum FK 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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