Erzurumspor FK 1-2 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 37% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
12%
6.63
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.9
2/X
10%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.32/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.19
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.8 Crosses 20.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
240 Passes 301
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-3 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
14.12.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
29.05.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-4 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
24.04.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
04.12.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-1 HT 2-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-2
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.36 xG 1.48
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
322 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor edged past Erzurumspor FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day İstanbulspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 64% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 36%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 2.00 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor?

Erzurumspor FK 1-2 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 37%, draw 30%, İstanbulspor 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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