Erzurumspor FK 0-3 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.11
-37% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.59 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
277 Passes 309
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
29.05.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-4 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
24.04.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
04.12.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-1 HT 2-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
19.01.2020 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0-3
AWAY İstanbulspor
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor swept aside Erzurumspor FK 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 40% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 60%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.67 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor?

Erzurumspor FK 0-3 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 43%, draw 24%, İstanbulspor 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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