Gaziantep FK 1-4 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.2
1/2
7%
21.25
1/X
7%
19.3
X/1
12%
13.6
X/2
19%
3.94
X/X
9%
6.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.73
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
15%
+12.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 70%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.07/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.15
-93% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 2.85
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
229 Passes 414
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
07.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
14.01.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
13.08.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
29.04.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-4
AWAY Fenerbahçe
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Gaziantep FK 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 45% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 55%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.17 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Gaziantep FK 1-4 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 27%, draw 23%, Fenerbahçe 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5
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