Boluspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.25/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.36
-19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.7 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.46 xG 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
276 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 HT 0-2 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
06.07.2020 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
14.12.2019 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.17 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
322 Passes 281
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor squeezed past Fatih Karagümrük 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Boluspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boluspor had 51% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 49%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.17 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 2.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Boluspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 33%, draw 28%, Fatih Karagümrük 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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