Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kasımpaşa v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals
Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
1-2
HT 0-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
1-2
HT 1-1
Sivasspor
TSL
1-3
HT 0-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
Kasımpaşa 3-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa got the better of Sivasspor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Kasımpaşa had 51% of the ball to Sivasspor's 49%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.65 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kasımpaşa and 0.67 for Sivasspor.
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor?
Kasımpaşa 3-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 46%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.