Göztepe 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.91
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.37
2-3
44%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.4
6+
10%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.07
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
15%
6.08
X/2
16%
5.58
X/X
9%
4.76
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
11%
3.56
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.74/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.23
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
20.4 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.17 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe TÜK
24.11.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-4 HT 2-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
15.05.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
10.02.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TÜK
23.12.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
15.05.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.82 xG 0.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
228 Passes 309
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe and Beşiktaş shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Göztepe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Göztepe had 45% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 55%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.82 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Göztepe and 1.50 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Beşiktaş?

Göztepe 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 43%, draw 24%, Beşiktaş 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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