Kagera Sugar 2-4 Azam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.48
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
19%
+14.1pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.2pp
33%
Away Win
58%
-24.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Azam EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.71/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.22
-29% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagera Sugar
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Azam
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Azam 1-0 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
25.05.2024 Azam 5-1 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
12.12.2021 Azam 0-0 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Kagera Sugar vs Azam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azam saw off Kagera Sugar 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Azam made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Azam led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kagera Sugar and 2.00 for Azam.

What was the final score of Kagera Sugar vs Azam?

Kagera Sugar 2-4 Azam in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagera Sugar vs Azam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagera Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Kagera Sugar 33%, draw 33%, Azam 33%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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