Karpaty Lviv 3-1 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.52/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.08
+30% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-0 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKRK
21.10.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
3-1
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
6 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv saw off Rukh Vynnyky 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 6-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 0.50 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Karpaty Lviv 3-1 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 45%, draw 27%, Rukh Vynnyky 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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