Shakhtar Donetsk 2-4 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.47/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.17
+23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
08.03.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2 HT 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
27.08.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
28.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-3 HT 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
19.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
07.11.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-3 HT 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka got the better of Shakhtar Donetsk 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Shakhtar Donetsk carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.67 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-4 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 59%, draw 24%, Kolos Kovalivka 18%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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