Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

Estudiantes De Merida
1-0 HT 1-0
Academia Puerto Cabello
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2025

Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.52/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.90
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.7 Crosses 18.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.08.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
12.02.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
24.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.04.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1-0
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.93 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
200 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 44% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 56%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.93 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.83 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 41%, draw 29%, Academia Puerto Cabello 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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