19/04/2026
·
13:10
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Marbella vs Gimnastic Tarragona Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74
— our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
24%
Draw
27%
31%
Away Win
32%
55%
Under 2.5
54%
45%
Over 2.5
46%
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
51%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marbella v Gimnastic Tarragona — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marbella
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gimnastic Tarragona
EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-19%
0.99/1.12
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.96/1.15
-24%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
+4%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
254 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
377 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
12.0
3.1
Yellow Cards
2.4
Marbella vs Gimnastic Tarragona Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marbella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Gimnastic Tarragona
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
3
1
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Marbella vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marbella saw off Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Marbella vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Marbella 2-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marbella vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marbella 44%, draw 24%, Gimnastic Tarragona 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Marbella)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS3
More Spain - 2nd Division B
19 Apr 2026