Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ponferradina v Barakaldo — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Ponferradina 1-0 Barakaldo — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Barakaldo 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Ponferradina made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (64%) landed.
On the day, Barakaldo saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 6-11.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Ponferradina against 0.33 for Barakaldo.
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Result & Final Score
Ponferradina 1 - 0 Barakaldo in the Spain - Primera Federación on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 37%, draw 33%, Barakaldo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.