Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Barakaldo — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Ponferradina 1-0 Barakaldo — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina nicked a narrow win over Barakaldo 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Ponferradina had 46% of the ball to Barakaldo's 54%, shots finished 6-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ponferradina and 0.33 for Barakaldo.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Ponferradina 1-0 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 41%, draw 30%, Barakaldo 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.