Arenteiro 0-2 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Apr 2026

Arenteiro
0-2 HT 0-1
Merida AD
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Arenteiro vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arenteiro v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.53
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Arenteiro vs Merida AD Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Merida AD Merida AD 3-1 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD got the better of Arenteiro 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arenteiro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Merida AD?

Arenteiro 0-2 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 42%, draw 27%, Merida AD 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenteiro), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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