Merida AD 3-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Oct 2025

Merida AD
3-1 HT 1-0
Arenteiro
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Arenteiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Arenteiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Merida AD 3-1 Arenteiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3-1
AWAY Arenteiro
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD got the better of Arenteiro 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Merida AD had 38% of the ball to Arenteiro's 62%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Arenteiro?

Merida AD 3-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 52%, draw 24%, Arenteiro 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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