CD Guadalajara 1-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -4%
2.46/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.18
+79% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
1-1
AWAY Barakaldo
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara and Barakaldo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Guadalajara at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 53% of the ball to Barakaldo's 47%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Barakaldo?

CD Guadalajara 1-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 45%, draw 28%, Barakaldo 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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