Lugo vs Celta Vigo II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugo v Celta Vigo II — Team-Based Signals
Lugo vs Celta Vigo II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo II
HAZ
Lugo 2-0 Celta Vigo II — Actual Match Statistics
Lugo beat Celta Vigo II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lugo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lugo had 44% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 56%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lugo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugo and 1.20 for Celta Vigo II.
What was the final score of Lugo vs Celta Vigo II?
Lugo 2-0 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugo vs Celta Vigo II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lugo 46%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo II 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.