Hercules 2-1 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 34% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.90/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.15
-39% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Villarreal II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2025 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-3 HT 1-1 Hercules Hercules HAZ
04.05.2025 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
17.11.2024 Hercules Hercules 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
06.03.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
06.12.2020 Hercules Hercules 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
18.01.2020 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
2-1
AWAY Villarreal II
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules nicked a narrow win over Villarreal II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hercules had 51% of the ball to Villarreal II's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hercules and 1.50 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Villarreal II?

Hercules 2-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hercules 42%, draw 31%, Villarreal II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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