Celta Vigo II vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo II v Lugo — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo II vs Lugo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo II
HAZ
Celta Vigo II 4-1 Lugo — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo II ran out comfortable winners over Lugo 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celta Vigo II had 58% of the ball to Lugo's 42%, shots finished 16-5.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Celta Vigo II and 0.50 for Lugo.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Lugo?
Celta Vigo II 4-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Lugo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 51%, draw 27%, Lugo 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.