Real Murcia 2-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.31/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.62
-19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Melilla
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
14.01.2024 Melilla Melilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
24.04.2022 Melilla Melilla 2-2 HT 2-2 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
05.12.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
2-0
AWAY Melilla
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia beat Melilla 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Murcia had 56% of the ball to Melilla's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Murcia and 0.67 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Melilla?

Real Murcia 2-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 48%, draw 27%, Melilla 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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