Ceuta 4-0 Linares Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.87
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Linares Deportivo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
05.03.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-0 HT 0-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS3
11.12.2022 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Linares Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta ran out comfortable winners over Linares Deportivo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ceuta and 1.33 for Linares Deportivo.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Linares Deportivo?

Ceuta 4-0 Linares Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Linares Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 53%, draw 23%, Linares Deportivo 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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