Atletico Baleares 0-1 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 39% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+10.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
61%
-14.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.04
-100% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-0D-2L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2023 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
08.03.2020 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 0-2 HT 0-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
20.10.2019 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
0-1
AWAY UD Ibiza
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza edged past Atletico Baleares 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UD Ibiza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 36% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 64%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Baleares and 1.00 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs UD Ibiza?

Atletico Baleares 0-1 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 25%, draw 28%, UD Ibiza 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ibiza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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