Ponferradina 3-0 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 36% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.01/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.37
-42% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SD Logrones
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 SD Logrones SD Logrones 0-3 HT 0-3 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
3-0
AWAY SD Logrones
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina swept aside SD Logrones 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Ponferradina had 52% of the ball to SD Logrones's 48%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs SD Logrones?

Ponferradina 3-0 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 55%, draw 24%, SD Logrones 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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