Atletico Madrid II 0-1 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.96/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.12
-14% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Malaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Malaga Malaga 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0-1
AWAY Malaga
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Malaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 53% of the ball to Malaga's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Malaga?

Atletico Madrid II 0-1 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 32%, draw 30%, Malaga 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5
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