Padova Calcio vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Padova Calcio v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Padova Calcio vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
Padova Calcio 1-0 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Padova Calcio edged past Reggiana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Padova Calcio had 57% of the ball to Reggiana's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.36 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.00 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Reggiana?
Padova Calcio 1-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 45%, draw 31%, Reggiana 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.