Trento AC 3-3 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 34% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +28%
1.17/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.85
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Renate
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
12.04.2025 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
30.11.2024 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
23.12.2023 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
05.02.2023 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
09.10.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 0-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
3-3
AWAY Renate
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC and Renate shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trento AC had 48% of the ball to Renate's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trento AC and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Renate?

Trento AC 3-3 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 38%, draw 29%, Renate 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5
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