Novara 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Apr 2026

Novara
0-1 HT 0-1
Cittadella
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Novara vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novara v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.44
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Novara vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cittadella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Cittadella Cittadella 2-2 HT 0-2 Novara Novara İTC
30.09.2020 Cittadella Cittadella 3-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTK
11.02.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 1-3 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTB
16.09.2017 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.02.2017 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
17.09.2016 Cittadella Cittadella 3-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTB

Novara 0-1 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novara vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella nicked a narrow win over Novara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Cittadella found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Novara had 66% of the ball to Cittadella's 34%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novara and 1.67 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Novara vs Cittadella?

Novara 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novara 40%, draw 30%, Cittadella 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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