Lecco 2-2 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.13
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 1-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
11.01.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 4-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
07.09.2024 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
2-2
AWAY Lumezzane
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco and Lumezzane couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lecco at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lecco had 58% of the ball to Lumezzane's 42%, shots finished 23-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lecco and 2.00 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Lumezzane?

Lecco 2-2 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lecco 48%, draw 23%, Lumezzane 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5
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