Lumezzane 4-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.02/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.23
-16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lecco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
4-0
AWAY Lecco
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane ran out comfortable winners over Lecco 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Lumezzane had 47% of the ball to Lecco's 53%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Lecco?

Lumezzane 4-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 40%, draw 26%, Lecco 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lumezzane), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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