Novara 3-0 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.33/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.01
-7% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.02.2024 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
29.09.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
11.05.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 3-0 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
21.01.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
17.09.2022 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
3-0
AWAY Virtus Verona
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara swept aside Virtus Verona 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novara had 52% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 48%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Novara and 0.83 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Novara vs Virtus Verona?

Novara 3-0 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novara 43%, draw 29%, Virtus Verona 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
11 Jan 2025
17:00 Caldiero Terme vs Triestina Analysis →
17:00 Lumezzane vs Lecco Analysis →
17:00 Trento AC vs Atalanta II Analysis →
17:00 GIANA Erminio vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
17:00 Taranto vs ACR Messina Analysis →
19:30 Renate vs Alcione Analysis →