Taranto 0-1 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
26%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 62%
+23% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+52% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
242 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ACR Messina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 4-1 HT 1-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
21.01.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
01.11.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 2-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
23.04.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
18.12.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-2 HT 0-2 Taranto Taranto İTC
10.04.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
0-1
AWAY ACR Messina
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Taranto vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina squeezed past Taranto 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ACR Messina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Taranto had 42% of the ball to ACR Messina's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ACR Messina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Taranto and 1.17 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Taranto vs ACR Messina?

Taranto 0-1 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated an ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Taranto 24%, draw 30%, ACR Messina 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACR Messina), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
11 Jan 2025
17:00 Caldiero Terme vs Triestina Analysis →
17:00 Lumezzane vs Lecco Analysis →
17:00 Novara vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
17:00 Trento AC vs Atalanta II Analysis →
17:00 GIANA Erminio vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
19:30 Renate vs Alcione Analysis →