ACR Messina 4-1 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.24
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Taranto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
01.11.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 2-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
23.04.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
18.12.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-2 HT 0-2 Taranto Taranto İTC
10.04.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
05.12.2021 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
4-1
AWAY Taranto
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina swept aside Taranto 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; ACR Messina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 56% of the ball to Taranto's 44%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ACR Messina and 0.67 for Taranto.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Taranto?

ACR Messina 4-1 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Taranto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 32%, draw 29%, Taranto 39%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Taranto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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