Renate 0-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.72
-21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +69%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alcione
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 0
07.09.2024 Alcione 0-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-1
AWAY Alcione
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione squeezed past Renate 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Renate at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Renate had 58% of the ball to Alcione's 42%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Renate vs Alcione?

Renate 0-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Renate 42%, draw 26%, Alcione 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Renate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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