GIANA Erminio 1-2 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.19
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 3-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
08.09.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
07.05.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 3-0 HT 2-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
17.02.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-3 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
15.10.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-3 HT 1-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
27.02.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-2
AWAY Pro Vercelli
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli squeezed past GIANA Erminio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 55% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 45%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.67 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Pro Vercelli?

GIANA Erminio 1-2 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 41%, draw 31%, Pro Vercelli 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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