Sumqayıt 1-0 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Apr 2026

Sumqayıt
1-0 HT 1-0
Qabala
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sumqayıt vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.08/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.27
-11% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sumqayıt vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Qabala
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
20.02.2026 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
07.11.2025 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.01.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
29.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
19.08.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.04.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-3 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt squeezed past Qabala 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sumqayıt found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.67 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

Sumqayıt 1-0 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 38%, draw 30%, Qabala 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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19 Apr 2026
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