Dender EH 1-4 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
9%
7.8
X/2
14%
4.73
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
22%
2.52
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.14/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.65
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
21.2 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.92 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
242 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2026 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
26.07.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
18.01.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.10.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
14.03.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
25.10.2008 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-4
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.97 xG 2.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
353 Passes 236
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge swept aside Dender EH 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cercle Brugge as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dender EH had 59% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 41%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.97 to 2.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dender EH and 0.33 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?

Dender EH 1-4 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 31%, draw 22%, Cercle Brugge 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
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