Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.77
X/2
13%
6.67
X/X
10%
4.4
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
7%
5.02
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
Value flag · 2/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.93/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.31
+21% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.6 Crosses 18.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.19
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 447
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
05.10.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BSK
27.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
22.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-1
AWAY Club Brugge
0.74 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
258 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise nicked a narrow win over Club Brugge 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 46% of the ball to Club Brugge's 54%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.74 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.83 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 48%, draw 26%, Club Brugge 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
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