Club Brugge 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.68
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
17%
7.78
X/X
11%
4.76
2/1
9%
24.65
2/2
8%
5.91
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +27%
1.74/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.52
+14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +80%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.8 Crosses 12.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.76 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
409 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BSK
13.05.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
21.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
0-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 xG 0.49
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
558 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise nicked a narrow win over Club Brugge 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 68% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 32%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.00 to 0.49 — on chances, Club Brugge could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge and 1.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 43%, draw 24%, Union Saint-Gilloise 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge)
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