Club Brugge 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.09
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.4
X/2
10%
6.68
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
16%
4.3
2/X
11%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.97/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.56
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
20.2 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
454 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BSK
27.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
22.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-0
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.47 xG 0.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
420 Passes 250
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Club Brugge made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge had 61% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 39%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.47 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Brugge and 1.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 40%, draw 27%, Union Saint-Gilloise 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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