Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Super Cup, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.59
X/2
11%
5.97
X/X
16%
4.4
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.11
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.7pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.69
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 Passes 468
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
22.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BSK
13.05.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge
1.32 xG 1.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
407 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge squeezed past Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Club Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 57% of the ball to Club Brugge's 43%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.00 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Super Cup on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 37%, draw 35%, Club Brugge 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →