Anderlecht 1-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.1
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
19%
4.26
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1
11%
22.25
2/2
7%
7.96
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
2.06/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.68
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.6 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
417 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-2 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
06.10.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
07.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
22.10.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-2 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.02.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-0
AWAY Standard Liege
1.93 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht nicked a narrow win over Standard Liege 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 51% of the ball to Standard Liege's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.93 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Anderlecht's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Standard Liege?

Anderlecht 1-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 54%, draw 24%, Standard Liege 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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