Genk vs Dender EH Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genk v Dender EH — Team-Based Signals
Genk vs Dender EH Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-0
Dender EH
BEL
2-4
HT 1-1
Genk
BEL
2-0
HT 0-0
Dender EH
BEL
2-0
HT 1-0
Genk
BEL
Genk 2-1 Dender EH — Actual Match Statistics
Genk edged past Dender EH 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Genk had 66% of the ball to Dender EH's 34%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.19 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Genk and 1.17 for Dender EH.
What was the final score of Genk vs Dender EH?
Genk 2-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genk vs Dender EH?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Genk 66%, draw 20%, Dender EH 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.