Westerlo 2-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.01
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.29
X/2
8%
6.88
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
2/2
15%
4.53
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.78/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.40
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.8 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
335 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
05.04.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
02.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.08.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
25.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.97 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
291 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo got the better of OH Leuven 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Westerlo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Westerlo had 52% of the ball to OH Leuven's 48%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.97 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Westerlo and 0.83 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Westerlo 2-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 46%, draw 23%, OH Leuven 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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