Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Feb 2026

Union Saint-Gilloise
1-0 HT 1-0
Club Brugge
📅01/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.19
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.22
X/2
8%
6.68
X/X
14%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.69
2/X
9%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.56/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
+18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.1 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
273 Passes 444
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BSK
27.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
22.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.10.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1-0
AWAY Club Brugge
1.59 xG 0.56
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
206 Passes 566
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise nicked a narrow win over Club Brugge 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 30% of the ball to Club Brugge's 70%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.00 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 44%, draw 28%, Club Brugge 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
1 Feb 2026
15:30 Standard Liege vs Anderlecht Analysis →
18:00 Dender EH vs Genk Analysis →
21:15 OH Leuven vs Mechelen Analysis →