Dender EH vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dender EH v Genk — Team-Based Signals
Dender EH vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-0
Dender EH
BEL
2-4
HT 1-1
Genk
BEL
2-0
HT 0-0
Dender EH
BEL
Dender EH 1-2 Genk — Actual Match Statistics
Genk squeezed past Dender EH 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Dender EH had 51% of the ball to Genk's 49%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.85 to 1.05 — on chances, Dender EH could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dender EH and 2.83 for Genk.
What was the final score of Dender EH vs Genk?
Dender EH 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Genk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 22%, draw 26%, Genk 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.