Avai vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Avai v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Avai 1-2 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics
Ponte Preta squeezed past Avai 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned Avai at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.80, about 56% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Avai's favour, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.65 to 2.33 — on chances created, Ponte Preta won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Avai against 0.67 for Ponte Preta.
Avai vs Ponte Preta Result & Final Score
Avai 1-2 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Avai vs Ponte Preta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Avai 49%, draw 31%, Ponte Preta 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.