Avai vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Avai
BR2
Avai 2-1 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics
Avai edged past Ponte Preta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avai had 50% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 50%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.60 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avai and 0.67 for Ponte Preta.
What was the final score of Avai vs Ponte Preta?
Avai 2-1 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Ponte Preta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Avai 49%, draw 28%, Ponte Preta 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.