Coritiba vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Coritiba
BR2
3-2
HT 2-2
Botafogo SP
BR2
Coritiba 1-3 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo SP got the better of Coritiba 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Coritiba had 70% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 30%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.28 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coritiba and 1.33 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Botafogo SP?
Coritiba 1-3 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 49%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.